Growth Stock Investment Checklist
The characteristics of growth stocks
1) Company in investing mode which can be identified by significant increase in total assets YoY,
2) Market cap for growth stocks are usually below 300m (small cap)
3) Track record of growth is less than 5 years
4 ) Unlikely to distribute dividends for US growth stocks
5) In cyclical sectors that will outperform defensive sectors during bull market (commodities, technologies etc)
1. Financial statement analysis,
2. Business sector analysis,
3. Share accumulation by insider management doing so would create a watchlist of stocks (in our growth stock spreadsheet) and next is to do entry & exit based on technical analysis
Financial statement analysis which comprise of :
1) Balance sheet
2) Income statement
3) Owner's equity
2) Income statement
3) Owner's equity
**In balance sheet, summary the one you should looking for
A) Increasing total assets annually for at least 3 years
B) Total debt to equity ratio less than 200%
C) Current ratio at least 2
Companies does not have enough current asset to be converted into cash to pay off current liabilities for that year. they can't clear their debts within the balance sheet and need to use cash from operating cash generation from cash flow statement. (the business operation for that year must make enough money to pay off short term debts)
**In profit statement, summary should be looking for :
D) Increasing sales for at least 3 years
E) Price/sales ratio less than 1.5
F) Increasing net earnings for at least 3 years
G) Net profit margin at least 20% for latest financial statement
H) Returns on Equity at least 18% for the past 3 years
I ) Returns on Assets at least 10% for the past 3 years
Do not look at Earnings Per Share (a popular financial metrics) because it can be rigged.
Earnings Per share = Latest year earnings / Total outstanding shares.
A company can increase its own EPS with falling YoY net earnings by doing share buyback exercise to dilute its shares outstanding and increase its EPS.
Do not use P/E ratio to solely value a company because it is EPS sensitive.
PEG Ratio (Price / Earnings to Growth) provides a more complete picture than P/E ratio. It is used to determine a stock's value while taking the company's earnings growth into account.
Less than PEG<1 is undervalued. This is not a necessary requirement but give everyone an idea of the company's valuation based on PEG
Cash flow statement, summary:
J) Net cash from operating activities must be positive and increasing for past 3 years
K) Latest financial year must have positive cash flow
If all Criteria fulfil except cashflow, continue to monitor the company as long as business performance maintain as positivity in cash flow can be reflected in a new financial year.
Business sector analysis.
Business sector analysis requires an opinion of what the world will be like in 5-10 years time. eg. type of product to be more expensive? require more service?
Individual companies P/E ratio is used as a comparison to its business sector average P/E ratio to understand how much premium u are paying compared to industry average. it is impossible to value a company solely with its individual P/E ratio as different sector has different average P/E.
Construction sector average P/E is at a low of 11, so a construction stock with P/E at 12 is actually at premium compared to industry average.
IT sector average P/E is 37
For Growth Company is also a management decision! A chairman's decision making can easily be a growth catalyst to a stock price. can read from 'Chairman Statement' of latest financial year report.
Director buy is a very important criteria in the an growth stock investment. because executive director buy with their own money, their agenda is aligned with a retail investor. This analysis is to ensure we are not buying into growth stocks that owners are actually trying to exit from the business
Using Double Moving Average Crossover Method for buy/sell entry and exit of investment. A bullish crossover (50 days MA crosses above 150days MA) is known as a golden cross, buy signal. a bearish crossover (50 days MA crosses below 150days MA) is known as a dead cross, sell signal.
